What Does It Really Cost to Run an Airbnb or Rental Property?
After last week's huge jump, mortgage rates drifted slightly downwards. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage (FRM) dipped to 6.81% on Apr. 24 from 6.83% on Apr. 17, according to Freddie Mac. It marks 14 straight weeks below 7% for the average 30-year FRM.
"Headlines rather than economic data have been the dominant drivers of day-to-day volatility in the stock, bond, and mortgage markets. Despite the noise, average mortgage rates ended up little changed compared to the previous week. The economic situation is rapidly evolving, making it hard to predict the direction of mortgage rates with any conviction."
Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in May?
"The market awaits some clarity on economic policies — particularly tariff-induced trade wars — before rates can move strongly in either direction."
Mortgage rates fluctuated significantly in 2023, with the average 30-year fixed rate going as low as 6.09% and as high as 7.79%, according to Freddie Mac. That range narrowed in 2024, with a spread of 6.08% to 7.22%. With the economy probably heading into a recession, we may have already seen the peak of this rate cycle.
Expert Mortgage Rate Predictions for May
Ralph DiBugnara
Founder, Home Qualified
There has been much anticipation of lower mortgage rates, but we have yet to see any consistency of that happening. The stock market has been down, along with inflation and consumer spending. In most markets, these factors would signal downward mortgage rates. But currently there is lack of confidence in the Fed lowering and or changing their current stance. In May I believe we will see some slow movement lower, as some positive economic data this month could push the average 30-year fixed mortgage rates down to 6.75% and 6.375% for the 15-year fixed. Also, ARM loans have emerged again as options with lower rates that should be considered. The 7/1 ARM should land about 5.875%.
Hannah Jones
Senior Economic Research Analyst, Realtor.com
Mortgage rates surged in April following the announcement of widespread tariffs early in the month. While rates remained elevated for much of the month, they began to decline toward the end, hinting at a potential return to pre-announcement levels. Looking ahead to May, rates are expected to ease further as markets find more stability. However, upcoming economic data — particularly the jobs report and inflation data — could spark renewed volatility if results deviate from expectations.
Sam Williamson
Senior Economist, First American
Mortgage rates are expected to remain in the mid-to-upper 6% range in May, amid ongoing worries over tariff-induced inflation and a softening in both business and consumer sentiment. Most market watchers anticipate that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at May's FOMC meeting. Significant attention will be focused on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks during the FOMC press conference.
Diane Yu
CEO and Co-Founder, TidalWave
Mortgage rates, whether they linger between 6.4% and 6.6% or shift in May 2025, are merely one factor in a complex equation. Inflation, Federal Reserve actions, and global uncertainties undeniably influence rates, but true opportunity for homebuyers hinges on market dynamics, personal financial stability, and timing. Affordability isn't dictated solely by rate fluctuations — it's shaped by income growth, escalating home prices, and individual debt capacity.
Mortgage Rate Predictions for 2025
| Housing Authority | 30-Year Rate Forecast (Q2 2025) |
|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | 6.35% |
| National Association of Realtors | 6.40% |
| Fannie Mae | 6.50% |
| National Association of Home Builders | 6.66% |
| Mortgage Bankers Association | 7.00% |
| Average Prediction | 6.58% |
Mortgage Rate Strategies for May 2025
Be Ready to Move Quickly
Indecision can lead to failure or missed opportunities. Although the housing market is becoming more balanced than the recent past, it still favors sellers. Buyers should get pre-approved (not pre-qualified) for their mortgage, so that the seller has some certainty about the deal closing. And be ready to close quickly — a long escrow period will put you at a disadvantage.
Shopping Around Isn't Only for the Holidays
Since interest rates can vary drastically from day to day and from lender to lender, failing to shop around likely leads to money lost. Lenders charge different rates for different levels of credit scores. Get multiple quotes from multiple lenders and leverage them against each other.
Key Takeaway
May 2025 mortgage rates are expected to ease slightly, with most experts predicting the 30-year fixed rate to settle between 6.35% and 7.00%. Ralph DiBugnara forecasts rates could dip to 6.75% for the 30-year fixed and 6.375% for the 15-year fixed. Shop around, get pre-approved, and be ready to move quickly.
Ready to Lock In Your Rate?
Our mortgage experts can help you navigate today's market and find the best rate for your situation.
Get Pre-Approved Today